US
Challenges facing Starmer and potential paths to recovery
The future of Sir Keir as Labour leader and potential prime minister remains uncertain, according to Nick Eardley.
Sir Keir Starmer's leadership has weathered a significant challenge to its viability.

The appointment of Lord Mandelson as UK ambassador to the US, given his association with Jeffrey Epstein, a convicted sex offender, has had a detrimental impact on the prime minister's standing.
Following a call from Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar for Sir Keir to step down due to errors at the highest levels of government, the cabinet expressed its support for the leader.
Currently, the party presents a unified front, although a number of Labour MPs speculate that Sir Keir's tenure may ultimately be limited.
However, this does not imply that the prime minister's exit from office is imminent, as his future remains uncertain.
The past decade has been marked by numerous leadership challenges in Westminster, with Sir Keir facing scrutiny over his leadership for an extended period.
When a leader is under fire, several crucial issues come to the forefront, warranting careful examination.
There are several pivotal moments that could potentially pose a threat to the prime minister's position.
One such moment is the expected release of documents related to the appointment of Lord Mandelson as the UK's ambassador to the United States.
The timeline for the release of these documents remains uncertain, and it may be some time before they become public.
According to Sir Keir, the newly released information is expected to reveal inconsistencies in Lord Mandelson's statements regarding his connections to Epstein during the vetting process.
The question remains whether these documents will provide concrete evidence to substantiate the prime minister's assertions.
The scope of the documents slated for publication is extensive, encompassing exchanges between Lord Mandelson, government ministers, and special advisers.
The release of these documents may raise additional, potentially sensitive questions and lead to further embarrassing disclosures.
Should any such disclosures implicate Number 10, this could increase the pressure on the prime minister.
The Labour party secured a convincing victory in this seat in 2024, but their chances of retaining it have become increasingly uncertain.
Some Labour party members are concerned that the party may not even secure second place, with the Greens and Reform UK potentially surpassing them.
A poor outcome for Labour would serve as a concrete illustration of the party's recent difficulties translating into electoral losses, which could have a profound impact on the party's lawmakers.
The May elections have been anticipated as a potential catalyst for significant change, particularly with regard to the prime minister's position.
There is a broad consensus that Labour is likely to lose control in Wales, a region they have held since devolution, with Plaid Cymru and Reform possibly finishing ahead of them.
The prospect of Labour gaining control in Scotland appears to be diminishing, with the party potentially finishing third, trailing behind the SNP and Reform UK.
Labour is also bracing itself for significant losses in the upcoming local council elections in England.
By May, the prime minister's position could be under severe threat, as the full scale of Labour's electoral decline is likely to become apparent.
The Labour Party's rules do not provide a straightforward or rapid process for MPs to oust their leader.
One option for Labour MPs would be to launch a leadership challenge, but this process could take several weeks to resolve, particularly if the prime minister chooses to contest it.
Discussions are underway regarding potential alternatives to remove the prime minister, including a confidence vote among Labour MPs or a unified statement from high-ranking officials.
However, the effectiveness of these approaches is uncertain.
Certain MPs believe that a resignation from the cabinet could erode support for Sir Keir, drawing parallels with the situation that unfolded when Boris Johnson faced the departures of Sajid Javid and Rishi Sunak.
Currently, it remains unclear who might initiate such a move.
A significant challenge lies in the fact that there is no clear candidate to succeed Sir Keir at present, with the most frequently mentioned names being hindered by substantial obstacles.
A notable connection exists between Health Secretary Wes Streeting and Lord Mandelson, stemming from their past interactions.
In an effort to establish some separation, Streeting has made public his exchanges with the former US ambassador, downplaying the notion of a close friendship with Lord Mandelson.
The question remains whether this move will be sufficient to alleviate concerns among cabinet members and Labour party members regarding Streeting's potential liabilities.
Angela Rayner, the former Deputy Prime Minister, has garnered support from certain segments of the left wing.
However, an ongoing investigation by HM Revenue and Customs into tax matters related to her second home continues, with a conclusion yet to be announced.
Defence Secretary John Healey and Armed Forces Minister Al Carns are also cited as potential leaders, described as reliable and experienced figures.
Some party members, particularly those on the soft left, have speculated about the possibility of Energy Secretary Ed Miliband making a return to the leadership role, despite the unlikelihood of such a scenario.
Alternatively, attention may turn to Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as a potential candidate.
The Labour Party's leadership field is currently wide open, leaving many MPs anxious about the potential outcome and whether their preferred candidate will emerge victorious.
A key question is whether the party's centrist faction would be willing to bring down the prime minister if they believed it could lead to a left-leaning leader taking the helm.
A rapid process could potentially lead to the installation of a leader who may not be favored by those on the left, prompting concerns about the outcome.
It is also important to consider the broader international context, as global events can have a significant impact on domestic politics.
The ongoing conflict in Ukraine, combined with President Trump's unpredictable diplomatic approach, has created an uncertain environment, making some Labour MPs hesitant to initiate a leadership election with an unknown result.
Following Sir Keir's address to the Parliamentary Labour Party, tensions appear to have eased temporarily, suggesting a brief respite from internal party pressures.
Labour MPs are undoubtedly upset, and many are openly discussing the prime minister's future, indicating a high level of discontent within the party.
Leadership challenges can be prolonged, and it is possible that Sir Keir will remain in office for some time.
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News
Document allegedly shows Andrew provided UK briefing on Epstein’s Afghan investments
A briefing that outlines “high value commercial opportunities” in Helmand province is contained within the Epstein files.
A document allegedly sent by Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor to Jeffrey Epstein contains details about investment prospects in Afghanistan, specifically regarding gold and uranium.

UK officials had prepared a briefing for Andrew, then a trade envoy, which he later forwarded to Epstein in December 2010; the document outlines "high value commercial opportunities" in Helmand province.
This revelation follows a BBC report that Andrew had labeled the document "confidential" in an email, as seen in the latest release of Epstein files.
Andrew has consistently denied any wrongdoing related to his association with Epstein, and has rejected suggestions that he used his position as trade envoy for personal gain.
Attempts have been made to obtain a comment from Andrew regarding these developments.
Sir Vince Cable, the business secretary at the time, has described Andrew's sharing of the briefing as "appalling behaviour".
Thames Valley Police are currently assessing whether to launch an investigation into the apparent sharing of documents related to Andrew's tenure as trade envoy.
In addition to the Afghan document, emails in the Epstein files suggest that Andrew also sent official reports from his trade envoy visits to Singapore, Hong Kong, and Vietnam to Epstein.
The emails indicate that Andrew may have shared further trade documents with Epstein, including a batch of files labeled "Overseas bids" sent immediately after the reports from his South East Asia visits.
These files are likely "Zip files" containing multiple pieces of compressed information.
The Afghan document, compiled by UK government officials for Andrew, provides an in-depth overview of investment opportunities in Helmand province during a time of significant UK military and political involvement in Afghanistan.
As noted by Andrew in his correspondence with Epstein, the document is a "confidential brief" prepared by the Provincial Reconstruction Team in Helmand Province.
The briefing was prepared for Andrew during the same month he visited Helmand, where he met with UK troops.
It offers an assessment of the local economy and business opportunities, including the presence of "significant high value mineral deposits" and the potential for low-cost extraction.
The document highlights valuable natural resources such as marble, gold, iridium, uranium, and thorium, as well as potential oil and gas deposits, based on information gathered by UK government officials working on the Helmand reconstruction team.
According to official guidelines, trade envoys are expected to maintain confidentiality regarding sensitive commercial or political information related to their official visits.
Sir Vince Cable has called for greater transparency regarding Andrew's activities as trade envoy, citing his own unsuccessful attempts to access Andrew's file, which he found to be empty.
Sir Vince, who played a key role in ending Andrew's tenure as trade envoy, has expressed concerns about Andrew's actions during his time in the position.

"I have twice requested to see Andrew's file from his time as trade envoy, but it is empty," Sir Vince stated.
He recalled meeting Andrew once at Buckingham Palace, where Andrew asked him to find a useful role for him, but Sir Vince declined.
Following the first public reports about Andrew's friendship with Epstein in 2011, Sir Vince decided to discontinue Andrew's role as trade envoy.
The primary function of a trade envoy is to promote UK business interests abroad and encourage investment.
A diplomatic source, speaking anonymously, suggested that a trade envoy like Andrew might have shared information with potential investors to support UK business initiatives, potentially including those in Afghanistan.
Andrew's note to Epstein mentions his intention to "offer this elsewhere in my network, including Abu Dhabi".
A former senior trade official noted that while many reports seen by a trade envoy might be routine, some meetings could produce significant commercial opportunities.
"It's possible that the documents contained important commercial information that would have been useful," the former official said.
However, the official emphasized that such documents were not intended for sharing outside of government, particularly not with individuals who might use them for personal gain.
Andrew continues to face scrutiny over his links to Epstein, following the release of new documents by the US government, including photographs of Andrew with a woman.
He is under increasing pressure to testify in the US about his connections to Epstein and has recently relocated from his Windsor home to the Sandringham Estate in Norfolk.
A Buckingham Palace spokesperson stated that the King is prepared to support the police as they consider allegations against Andrew.
To receive the latest royal news and analysis, sign up for the Royal Watch newsletter; those outside the UK can sign up using a separate link.

Middle East
BBC reports from Tehran as Iran commemorates Islamic revolution anniversary
BBC correspondent Lyse Doucet has arrived in Iran, marking her first visit to the country since authorities suppressed widespread demonstrations against the government.
Iran's government has staged a display of strength to commemorate the 47th anniversary of the Islamic revolution, following a period of intense repression of anti-government demonstrations.
The BBC has gained access to Tehran for the first time since the authorities' crackdown on protests, which resulted in the deaths of at least 6,490 people, according to estimates by human rights activists.
Lyse Doucet, the BBC's chief international correspondent, observes that the capital's streets, adorned with festive decorations and filled with crowds of supporters, reflect the government's desired image of a unified nation, with Iranians demonstrating their allegiance to the Islamic Republic and its founding revolution.
Business
Over 180 survivors participate in Harrods abuse compensation scheme
Allegations of sexual harassment have been made against the late Mohamed Al Fayed, stemming from his tenure as owner.
Over 180 individuals who suffered abuse at the hands of Mohammed Al Fayed, the former owner of Harrods, are presently participating in the company's compensation program, according to the retailer.

To date, more than 50 women have received compensation payments from the luxury department store.
Launched in March of the previous year, the compensation scheme will no longer accept new submissions after March 31.
In October, Harrods allocated over £60 million for its compensation plan, which aims to provide support to victims of alleged historical abuse.
The scheme offers a standard award of £200,000 to eligible claimants; however, those who undergo an assessment by a consultant psychiatrist may be eligible to receive up to £385,000 in compensation, in addition to treatment costs.
Claimants who opt not to undergo a psychiatric assessment will receive lower compensation amounts.
Applications received by the March 31 deadline will continue to be processed thereafter.
Additionally, Harrods will continue to provide counseling support beyond the deadline, including services from the Independent Survivor Advocate.
In 2024, human rights advocate Dame Jasvinder Sanghera was appointed by Harrods to the role of Independent Survivor Advocate, with the goal of meeting with as many survivors as possible and guiding them through the compensation process.
Justice for Harrods Survivors, an organization representing some of the victims, has stated that only a fully independent process can adequately address the needs of survivors.
Mohammed Al Fayed, who owned Harrods from 1985 to 2010, has been accused of rape and sexual assault by multiple women, with 146 individuals coming forward to report crimes to the Met Police as part of their investigation.
The Harrods Group operates several locations, including its flagship store in Knightsbridge, London, as well as smaller stores at Heathrow and Gatwick airports, and a chain of beauty stores.
KP Law, which represents over 260 survivors, has expressed criticism of the Redress Scheme, citing concerns that Harrods maintains full control over the process.
Tom Fletcher, a specialist lawyer at Irwin Mitchell, which supports some of the victims, has expressed satisfaction with the settlements secured for some of the firm's clients through the scheme.
According to Tom Fletcher, "Although no amount of compensation can fully compensate for the abuse our clients experienced, the amounts recovered under the scheme acknowledge the severity of the abuse and provide our clients with the necessary funds to access specialized support, enabling them to move forward with their lives."
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